Project Papers:

Carnes, Benjamin
2005 Embedding Intelligence in 3-D Games: A Day in the Life of the Anasazi. M.S. Thesis, Wayne State University, Detroit.

Cowan, Jason A., Timothy A. Kohler, C. David Johnson, and Kevin D. Cooper
2006 Supply, Demand, Return Rates, and Resource Depression: Hunting in the Village Ecodynamics World. In Archaeological Simulation: Into the 21st Century, edited by Andre Costopoulos. Volume submitted to University of Utah Press, Salt Lake City.

Glowacki, Donna M.
2006 The Social Landscape of Depopulation: the Northern San Juan, A.D. 1150-1300. Tenth Biennial Southwest Symposium, Las Cruces, January.

Glowacki, Donna M., C. David Johnson, Fumiyasu Arakawa, and Hugh L. Robinson
2004 Community Center Survey: Large Sites in the Central Mesa Verde Region Revisited. Poster presented at the 69th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, Montreal, Quebec, Canada. Poster.

Glowacki, Donna M., and Mark D. Varien
2002 Community Center Survey 2002. Manuscript on file at Crow Canyon Archaeological Center, Cortez.

2003 Community Center Survey 2003: Results and Synthesis. Manuscript on file at Crow Canyon Archaeological Center, Cortez.

Glowacki, Donna M., Mark D. Varien, and C. David Johnson
2003 Community Centers: Cycles of Aggregation in the Mesa Verde Region. Paper presented at the 69th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, Milwaukee, April.

Janssen, Marco A., Timothy A. Kohler, and Marten Scheffer
2003 Sunk-Cost Effects Made Ancient Societies Vulnerable to Collapse.  Current Anthropology 44:722-728.

Johnson, C. David
2003 Modeling Critical Resources: Natural Production and Human-Induced Degradation in the Prehistoric Mesa Verde Region. Paper presented at the 68th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, Milwaukee, WI. ABSTRACT, Text: (PDF).

Johnson, C. David, and Timothy A. Kohler
2005 Modeling Long-Term Human Ecology: Simulating Prehistoric Settlement in the Upland Southwest. Poster presented at the 70th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, Salt Lake City, UT. Poster.

2005 Modeling Long-Term Human Ecology: Simulating Prehistoric Settlement in the Upland Southwest. Poster presented at the 16th Annual Computer
Applications and Quantitative Methods in Archaeology Conference, Fargo, ND.

Johnson, C. David, Timothy A. Kohler, and Jason A. Cowan
2004 Modeling Multigenerational Household Response to Fuel Wood Availability: Using Long-Term Data to Help Solve Current Problems. Paper presented at the 69th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, Montreal, Quebec, Canada. ABSTRACT, TEXT (PDF).

Johnson, C. David, Timothy A. Kohler, and Jason A. Cowan
2005 Modeling Historical Ecology, Thinking about Contemporary Systems. American Anthropologist 107:96-108. TEXT (PDF).

Kobti, Ziad
2004 Learning in Dynamic Hierarchical Network Structures in Complex Systems. Ph.D. Dissertation, Wayne State University, Detroit.

2004 Learning in Dynamic Hierarchical Network Structures: A Mesa Verde Example. Computer Science Seminar, Wayne State University, Detroit, December.

Kobti, Ziad, Robert G. Reynolds, and Timothy A. Kohler
2003 A Multi-Agent Simulation using Cultural Algorithms: The Effect of Culture on the Resilience of Social Systems. Paper presented at IEEE International Congress on Evolutionary Computation in Australia, Canberra, December.

2004 Agent-Based Modeling of Cultural Change in Swarm Using Cultural Algorithms. Swarmfest 2004, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, May.

2004 The Effect of Culture on the Resilience of Social Systems in the Village Multi-Agent Simulation. Proceedings of IEEE International Congress on Evolutionary Computation, Portland, June.

2005 The Emergence of Complex Hierarchical Hub Social Networks in the Mesa Verde Village Simulation using Cultural Learning. The 18th International FLAIRS Conference, Clearwater Beach, Florida, May.

2005 The Emergence of Social Complexity in Mesa Verde Using Cultural Learning in the Presence of Balanced and Reciprocal Exchange Networks. Proceedings of AGENTS 2004, Argonne Laboratory Conference on Social Dynamics, Interaction, Reflexivity, and Emergence, Chicago, October.

in press The Emergence of Social Network Hierarchy using Cultural Algorithms. International Journal on Artificial Intelligence Tools.  Expected 2006.

Kohler, Timothy A.
2001 Agent-Based Modeling and Ecosystem Anthropology in symposium entitled "Ecosystems and Complex Systems in Anthropology" organized by Tom Abel and Rick Stepp, 100th Annual Meeting of the American Anthropological Organization, Washington, D.C., November.

2002 “Village”: Agent-Based Simulation in Archaeology. Departmental Colloquium, University of Washington, Seattle, April.

2002 An Overview of the ‘Village’ Simulation Project: The End of One Phase and the Beginning of the Next. Colloquium, Anthropology Department, WSU, Pullman.

2003 Agent-Based Modeling of Mesa Verde Region Settlement Systems: Introduction. Paper presented in Symposium “Building Models for Settlement Systems in the Late Prehispanic Mesa Verde Region: An Interdisciplinary Approach”. 68th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, Milwaukee, April. ABSTRACT, TEXT (PDF).

2003 Using Agent-Based Simulation To Investigate Prehistoric Societies. Marschak Colloquium (http://www.anderson.ucla.edu/research/marschak) speaker, UCLA, January. Cosponsored by the UCLA Center for Governance, the UCLA Department of Anthropology, and the UCLA Cotsen Institute of Archaeology. January.

2003 “Approaching Realism in Agent-based Modeling: Examination of Coupled Human/Ecosystems in the pre-Hispanic Central Mesa Verde Region.” Institute for Mathematical Behavioral Sciences, University of California, Irvine. January.

2004 The Village Project, An Introduction; and Lessons Learned, in day-long symposium on “The Village Project” presented for archaeologists and land managers in the Four Corners area at the Anasazi Heritage Center, Dolores, October.

2004 Artificial and Real Prehistoric Worlds: Three Uses for Agent-Based Modeling in Archaeology. Public presentation before the Slovenian Academy of Sciences and whoever else wanted to attend (advertised in newspaper), linked with the Santa Fe Institute & Research Center of the Slovenian Academy of Sciences-sponsored workshop “The dynamics of groups and institutions: their emergence, co-evolution, and environment,” Ljubljana, Slovenia. June.

2004 The Role of Population and Network Size in Transitions between forms of Social Organization. Paper presented at a workshop sponsored by the Santa Fe Institute & Research Center of the Slovenian Academy of Sciences entitled “The dynamics of groups and institutions: their emergence, co-evolution, and environment,” Brdo pri Kranju, Slovenia. June.

2004 Artificial and Real Prehistoric Worlds: How Agent-Based Modeling Helps Decode the Archaeological Record. Fudan University—Santa Fe Institute Joint Workshop on Biocomplexity, Shanghai. April.

2004 Paradigms for Biocomplexity: An Introduction to the Symposium and to the "Village Ecodynamics" Project. Paper presented at the 69th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, Montreal, Quebec, Canada. ABSTRACT, TEXT (PDF).

2005 On Multiple Fronts: The Ecosystemics of the 13th-Century Northern San Juan Depopulation. Invited Paper in workshop “Environmental Controls on the Collapse of Civilizations: Lessons for the 21st Century?” Quaternary Research Center, University of Washington, Seattle, May.

2005 Using Agent-based and Systems Models Together to Understand the Prehistory of the Northern Southwest. Department of Anthropology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, B.C. October 28.

2005 How Agent-Based Simulation Creates a Frame of Reference for Understanding Cycles of Growth and Collapse in the Northern Southwest. Plenary Address, 38th Annual Chacmool Archaeological Conference, Calgary, AB. November.

2006 SWARMing Mesa Verde: What we are Learning through the Village Ecodynamics Project. Paper at Conference “A Century of Archaeological Research at Mesa Verde National Park,” Towaoc, Colorado, May.

2006 Agent-Based and Systems-Level Models for the A.D. 1280s Southwest Collapse. Departments of Anthropology and Environmental Science, Yale University, New Haven. March.

2006 (Forum) Contemporary Relevance of Archaeological Research. 71st Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, San Juan, Puerto Rico, April.

2006 Simulation and Imagination Fistfight in the Mesa Verde. In The Mesa Verde World: Explorations in Mesa Verde Archaeology, edited by David Grant Noble, pp. 66-73. School of American Research Press, Santa Fe.

Kohler, Timothy A., Sarah Cole and Stanca Ciupe
2005 Population Growth and Sociopolitical Instability in Puebloan Societies: How Data and Agent-based Models Inform Systems-Level Dynamic Models. Invited paper for International Conference “Pattern and Process in Cultural Evolution,” CEACB, UCL September. TEXT (PDF)

2005 Can War Spawn People? Attempts to test the Turchin/Korotayev model for warfare in pre-state societies. Symposium, Santa Fe Institute, September.

Kohler, Timothy A., George J. Gumerman, and Robert G. Reynolds
2005 Simulating Ancient Societies. Scientific American 293:77-84. TEXT (PDF).

Kohler, Timothy A., and C. David Johnson
2004 Seven Hundred Years of Robust Adaptation Followed by Total Collapse: The Central Mesa Verde from A.D. 600-1300. Presented in the A. Watson Armour III Spring Symposium, entitled “Indigenous Ecologies and Sustainability: Humans and Landscape, Past and Present.” Field Museum, Chicago, March.

2004 Dynamic Deterministic Resource-Based Models for Puebloan Settlement, presented in a Workshop on Modeling Long-term Culture Change. Santa Fe Institute, October.

2005 “Village:” Ecodynamics of Prehispanic Northern San Juan Cultures. Paper presented in symposium entitled “Theoretical and Methodological Requirements for Archaeological Simulation” at the 70th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, Salt Lake City, April.

Kohler, Timothy A., Kenneth Kolm, Robert G. Reynolds, and Mark D. Varien
2003 Coupled Human/Ecodynamics in the Mesa Verde region, USA Poster presented at NSF-sponsored conference “Biocomplexity in the Environment Awardees Meeting: Environmental Research and Education; Growing Knowledge and Know-How.” Arlington, VA, September.

Kohler, Timothy A., and Kathi Kramer Turner
2003 Evolutionary Perspectives on Raiding for Women in the Prehistoric Northern Southwest. Symposium Paper, 102nd Annual Meeting of the AAA. Chicago, November.

Kohler, Timothy A., and Carla Van West
2002 “The ‘Village’ Simulation: On The Care and Feeding of Models from Childhood to Adolescence.” Paper presented in a symposium entitled “Great Houses and Great Pueblos: Polity, Economy, and Ritual in the Northern San Juan Region during the A.D. 1050-1300 Period,” organized by Mark Varien, in the 67th Annual Meeting of Society for American Archaeology, Denver, March.

Kohler, Timothy A., and Mark Varien
2006 A Scale Model of 700 years of Farming Settlements in Southwest Colorado. Paper in Symposium “Early Village Society in Global Perspective.” 71st Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, San Juan, Puerto Rico, April.

Kohler, Timothy A., and Lorene Yap
2003 Modeling Reciprocal Exchange in Southwestern Societies. Paper presented at the 68th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, Milwaukee, WI. ABSTRACT, TEXT (PDF).

Kolm, Ken, and Schaun Smith
2002 Watershed-Scale Hydrogeologic Analysis and Paleohydrologic Modeling of Prehistoric Settlement Systems in the Canyon of the Ancients Region, Southwest Colorado. Presented at the American Geophysical Union 2002 Fall Meeting, San Francisco, December.

2003 Modeling Paleohydrology for Settlement Systems in the Canyon of the Ancients Region, Southwestern Colorado: An Interdisciplinary Approach. Presented at the 68th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, Milwaukee, April.

2003 Watershed-Scale Hydrogeologic Analysis and Paleohydrologic Modeling of Prehistoric Settlements in the Canyon of the Ancients Region, Southwest Colorado: A Hierarachical Approach Using Geology, Hydrology, Geomorphology, and Mathematical Modeling. Presented at the 55th Annual Meeting of the Geological Society of America – Rocky Mountain Section, Durango, May.

2004 A Paleohydrological Model for the Central Mesa Verde Region presented by Ken Kolm in a Workshop on Modeling Long-term Culture Change. Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, October.

2004 Pre-Historic Sociopolitical Decision-Making in the Mesa Verde Region: Multiple-Scale and Multi-Temporal Hydrologic System Modeling to Predict the Relationship of Drinking Water Supplies and Settlement Patterns. Presented at the 69th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, Montreal, April.

Kolm, Ken, Schaun Smith, and J. M. Shafer
2004 NSF Village Biocomplexity Research Project: A Paleohydrological Model for the Central Mesa Verde Region to Predict the Relationship of Drinking Water Supplies and Settlement Patterns. Presented at National Science Foundation: The Village Project – Public Symposium, Anasazi Heritage Center, Dolores, October.

Kolm, Ken, Schaun Smith, and Y. E. Yan.
2004 Pre-Historic Sociopolitical Decision-Making in the Canyon of the Ancients Region, Southwest Colorado: Multiple-Scale and Multi-Temporal Hydrologic System Modeling to Predict the Relationship of Drinking Water Supplies and Settlement Patterns. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Geological Society of America – Rocky Mountain/Cordilleran Joint Meeting, Denver, November.

Ortman, Scott, and Mark Varien
2004 An Empirical Bayesian Model for the Evolution of Settlement Patterns in the Central Mesa Verde Region, presented by Scott Ortman in a Workshop on Modeling Long-term Culture Change. Santa Fe Institute, October.

Ortman, Scott G., Mark D. Varien, and T. Lee Gripp
in press Empirical Bayesian Methods for Archaeological Survey Data: An Application from the Mesa Verde Region. American Antiquity. Expected 2006.

Ortman, Scott. G., Mark. D. Varien, and Michael. G. Spitzer
2003 Changing Settlement Patterns in the Central Mesa Verde Region:The Site Database. Paper presented at the 68th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, in symposium Building Models for Settlement Systems in the Late Prehispanic Mesa Verde Region: An Interdisciplinary Approach. Milwaukee, April. ABSTRACT, TEXT (PDF).

Reynolds, Robert G.
2005 Agent-Based Modeling of the Emergence of Social Complexity in the Mesa Verde Region using Cultural Algorithms. Paper presented at the University of Michigan, Museum of Anthropology Brown Bag Seminar Series, Ann Arbor, February.

Reynolds, Robert G., Timothy A. Kohler, and Ziad Kobti
2003 Finding the Center Place: The Multi-agent Simulation of the Emergence of Social Networks in the Mesa Verde Region Using Cultural Algorithms. Paper presented at The Agent 2003 Conference on: Challenges in Social Simulation. Gleacher Center — The University of Chicago. October.

2003 Robustness in Coupled Human/Natural Systems in the Northern Prehispanic Southwest. Paper presented at workshop on “The Robustness of Coupled Natural and Human Systems,” Santa Fe Institute, May.

Reynolds, Robert G., Ziad Kobti, and Timothy A. Kohler
2004 The Emergence of Social Complexity in Mesa Verde Using Cultural Learning in the Presence of Balanced and Reciprocal Exchange Networks. Paper presented in Agent 2004: Social Dynamics: Interaction, Reflexivity and Emergence, Chicago, October.

2004 The Effects of Generalized Reciprocal Exchange on the Resilience of Social Networks: An Example from the Prehistoric Mesa Verde Region. Journal of Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory 9:229-254.

2004 The Effect of Kinship Cooperation Learning Strategy and Culture on the Resilience of Social Systems in the Village Multi-Agent Simulation. Paper presented at the 2004 Congress on Evolutionary Computation, Portland, June.

Reynolds Robert, Ziad Kobti, Timothy A. Kohler, and Lorene Yap
2004 Effects of Generalized and Balanced Reciprocity on Puebloan Settlement in Ecological Context presented by Bob Reynolds in a Workshop on Modeling Long-term Culture Change. Santa Fe Institute, October.

2005 Unraveling Ancient Mysteries: Re-imagining the Past using Evolutionary Computation in a Complex Gaming Environment. IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation 9(6):707-720.

Smith, Schaun, and Ken Kolm
2005 A Paleohydrological Model for the Canyon of the Ancients Region, Southwest Colorado, Examining Relationships Between Drinking Water Supplies and Anasazi Settlement Patterns from 600 to 1300 AD. Presented at the 57th Annual Meeting of the Geological Society of America – Rocky Mountain Section, Grand Junction, May.

Spitzer, Michael G.
2003 Paleodemographic Measurements for the Project Area. Paper presented at the 68th annual meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, In Building Models for Settlement Systems in the Late Prehispanic Mesa Verde Region: An Interdisciplinary Approach. Milwaukee, April.

Varien, Mark D.
2003 Occupation Span and the Organization of Activities at Residential Sites: A Case Study from the Mesa Verde Region. In Ancient Households of the Americas: Conceptualizing What Households Do, edited by John G. Douglas and Nancy Gonlin, University Press of Colorado, Boulder. In Press.

2003 What Happened to the People of the Mesa verde Region? Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science in symposium entitled [Mis]understanding Village Abandonments in the Prehistoric North American Southwest. Denver, February.

2006 Modeling Historical Ecology: Results from the Village Ecodynamics Project. Lecture given to the Denver Chapter of Colorado Historical Society, the Cortez Chapter of CAS, Aztec National Monument, in the 2005 Southwest Seminars Lecture Series, Santa Fe, New Mexico.

2006 Modeling Population Dynamics and Settlement History in the Mesa Verde Archaeological Region. Paper at Conference “A Century of Archaeological Research at Mesa Verde National Park,” Towaoc, Colorado, May.

Varien, Mark D., Elaine Davis, Ken Kolm, and Schaun Smith
2003 Using Hydrogeologic and Agent-Based Modeling of Prehistoric Settlements in the Canyon of the Ancients Region, Southwest Colorado to Develop Interdisciplinary Educational Simulations: A Case Study Utilizing Geological and Archaeological Data. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Geological Society of America. Seattle, September.

Varien, Mark. D., and Scott. G. Ortman
2003 Good Times, Bad Times: Seven Hundred Years of settlement in the Mesa Verde Region. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Colorado Council of Professional Archaeologists. Durango, March.

2003 The NSF Project Site database: Modeling 700 Years of Settlement in the Mesa Verde region. Paper presented at the 7th Biennial BigMacc Conference. Cortez, February.

Varien, Mark D., Scott G. Ortman, Donna M. Glowacki, and C. David Johnson
2004 Settlement History and Population Dynamics in the Central Mesa Verde region. Paper presented at the 69th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, Montreal, April.

Varien, Mark D., Scott G. Ortman, Timothy A. Kohler, Donna M. Glowacki, and C. David Johnson
in press Historical Ecology in the Mesa Verde Region: Results From The Village Project. American Antiquity. Expected 2006.

Yap, Lorene, and Timothy A. Kohler
2003 Modeling Reciprocal Exchange in Southwestern Societies. Paper presented in Symposium “Building Models for Settlement Systems in the Late Prehispanic Mesa Verde Region: An Interdisciplinary Approach.” 68th Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, Milwaukee, April.

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