The Real Estate Construction Cycle
 
 

 Jane Zhang and Andrew Ford
Program in Environmental Science and Regional Planning
Washington State University
 

Real estate markets are among the most unstable and cyclic asset markets, exhibiting large amplitude cycles of 10-20 years. Real estate constitutes a large fraction of the total wealth in any economy, generates a significant fraction of banking activity and debt, and strongly affects the job market. Consequently, real estate booms are often accompanied by periods of intense speculation involving expansion of credit and banking activity, stimulating the local and even national economy. When the bubble bursts, the resulting bad loans, defaults, and unemployment can throw an entire region into recession or even depression.  

 John D. Sterman, Business Dynamics,
Irwin McGraw Hill, 2000, page 698

 

 Chicago Case
(Homer Hoyt) 

 Boston Case  
(DiPasquale and Wheaton)

Other Authors

History of Chicago Cycles
1830-1933

Boston Housing Prices
1961 - 1991

What do others
have to say?


Return to Andy Ford's Home Page